Oscars: My Predictions vs. Winners

The 83rd Annual Academy Awards were held this past Sunday, and I seem to be on a bit of a roll lately.  First, I only miss four categories at the Golden Globes last month (84% correct).  And surprisingly, that success rolled over to this week, when I only missed five, resulting in 79% correct.

Here's the list of winners along with my predictions:

Best Picture:
The King's Speech
My Prediction:
The Social Network (-)

Best Actor:
Colin Firth, The King's Speech
My Prediction:
Colin Firth, The King's Speech (+)

Best Supporting Actor:
Christian Bale, The Fighter
My Prediction:
Christian Bale, The Fighter (+)

Best Actress:
Natalie Portman, Black Swan
My Prediction:
Natalie Portman, Black Swan (+)

Best Supporting Actress:
Melissa Leo, The Fighter
My Prediction:
Melissa Leo, The Fighter (+)

Best Animated Film:
Toy Story 3
My Prediction:
Toy Story 3 (+)

Best Art Direction:
Alice in Wonderland
My Prediction:
Alice in Wonderland (+)

Best Cinematography:
Inception
My Prediction:
True Grit (-)

Best Costume Design:
Alice in Wonderland
My Prediction:
Alice in Wonderland (+)

Best Director:
Tom Hooper, The King's Speech
My Prediction:
David Fincher, The Social Network (-)

Best Documentary:
Inside Job
My Prediction:
Inside Job (+)

Best Documentary Short:
Strangers No More
My Prediction:
Strangers No More (+)

Best Editing:
The Social Network
My Prediction:
The Social Network (+)

Best Foreign Language Film:
In a Better World (Denmark)
My Prediction:
In a Better World (Denmark) (+)

Best Makeup:
The Wolfman
My Prediction:
The Wolfman (+)

Best Score:
The Social Network, Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross
My Prediction:
The Social Network, Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross (+)

Best Song:
"We Belong Together," Toy Story 3
My Prediction:
"We Belong Together," Toy Story 3 (+)

Best Animated Short:
The Lost Thing
My Prediction:
Day & Night (-)

Best Live-Action Short:
God of Love
My Prediction:
Na Wewe (-)

Best Sound Editing:
Inception
My Prediction:
Inception (+)

Best Sound Mixing:
Inception
My Prediction:
Inception (+)

Best Visual Effects:
Inception
My Prediction:
Inception (+)

Best Original Screenplay:
The King's Speech, David Seidler
My Prediction:
The King's Speech, David Seidler (+)

Best Adapted Screenplay:
The Social Network, Aaron Sorkin
My Prediction:
The Social Network, Aaron Sorkin (+)

I got 19 of the 24 categories correct, missing only five (79% correct).

I was trying to think of why I'm doing better this year with my predictions.  And while I always have looked at what others are saying, I have done a lot more research this year, not only looking at what other websites are predicting, but thinking about what is in each film that could warrant a win, watching clips from some of the smaller categories (Best Animated Short, Best Live-Action Short), reading summaries of the documentaries, and listening to the nominated songs.  I usually do a lot of that already, but I focused more and analyzed the environment closer than I may usually have done. Next stop - the Emmy's!

You can view the full list of nominees, winners, and my predictions on T.W.O.'s Oscars page.